Foresight by scenarios – A literature review

Jhon Wilder Zartha Sossa, Verónica Tatiana Álvarez Ríos, Camilo Andrés Grajales López, Juan Carlos Palacio Piedrahita

    Research output: Contribution to journalReview articlepeer-review

    Abstract

    The methods used in foresight studies are analysed under the approach of recent scenarios and applications, where new methods are evidenced. Sixty-six documents were analysed through a search equation in Scopus with the help of the software Vantage Point, taking into account criteria such as keywords, countries, methods used and applications; making use of co-occurrence matrices and cluster analysis. Nineteen new methods, techniques and tools were found, amongst which nano-tendencies, data mining, machine learning, genetic algorithms, and serious games stand out. In the same way, the stages for the construction of scenarios were identified and it was found that they do not fit into a single school or foresight approach.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)230-249
    Number of pages20
    JournalInternational Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy
    Volume15
    Issue number4
    DOIs
    StatePublished - 2021

    Bibliographical note

    Publisher Copyright:
    Copyright © 2021 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd.

    Keywords

    • Foresight
    • Foresight methods
    • Scenarios
    • Stage management

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