Corruption and Municipal Fiscal Performance in Colombia: A Quantile Regression Analysis (2016-2019)

Guillermo David Hincapié Vélez; Juan Camilo Galvis Ciro

doi:10.18601/01245996.v28n54.04

Corruption and Municipal Fiscal Performance in Colombia: A Quantile Regression Analysis (2016-2019)

Título traducido de la contribución: Corrupción y desempeño fiscal municipal en Colombia: un análisis de regresión cuantil (2016-2019)

Guillermo David Hincapié Vélez
, Juan Camilo Galvis Ciro

Grupo de Investigación en Análisis Económico

Producción científica: Contribución a una revista científica › Artículo en revista científica indexada › revisión exhaustiva

Resumen

This study analyzes the effect of public corruption on municipal fiscal performance in Colombia (2016-2019). Using a composite corruption index and quantile regression with instrumental variables, we find a differentiated negative impact: it is significant and larger in low-performance municipalities, and insignificant in high-performance ones. Fiscal performance is inelastic to corruption, with higher sensitivity in the lower quartile.

Título traducido de la contribución	Corrupción y desempeño fiscal municipal en Colombia: un análisis de regresión cuantil (2016-2019)
Idioma original	Inglés
Páginas (desde-hasta)	71-98
Número de páginas	28
Publicación	Revista de Economia Institucional
Volumen	28
N.º	54
DOI	https://doi.org/10.18601/01245996.v28n54.04 https://doi.org/10.18601/01245996.V28N54.04
Estado	Publicada - 28 mar 2026

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Publisher Copyright:
© (2026), (Universidad Externado de Colombia). All rights reserved.

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abstract = "This study analyzes the effect of public corruption on municipal fiscal performance in Colombia (2016-2019). Using a composite corruption index and quantile regression with instrumental variables, we find a differentiated negative impact: it is significant and larger in low-performance municipalities, and insignificant in high-performance ones. Fiscal performance is inelastic to corruption, with higher sensitivity in the lower quartile.",

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author = "V{\'e}lez, \{Guillermo David Hincapi{\'e}\} and Ciro, \{Juan Camilo Galvis\}",

year = "2026",

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Corruption and Municipal Fiscal Performance in Colombia: A Quantile Regression Analysis (2016-2019). / Vélez, Guillermo David Hincapié; Ciro, Juan Camilo Galvis.
En: Revista de Economia Institucional, Vol. 28, N.º 54, 28.03.2026, p. 71-98.

Producción científica: Contribución a una revista científica › Artículo en revista científica indexada › revisión exhaustiva

TY - JOUR

T1 - Corruption and Municipal Fiscal Performance in Colombia

T2 - A Quantile Regression Analysis (2016-2019)

AU - Vélez, Guillermo David Hincapié

AU - Ciro, Juan Camilo Galvis

PY - 2026/3/28

Y1 - 2026/3/28

N2 - This study analyzes the effect of public corruption on municipal fiscal performance in Colombia (2016-2019). Using a composite corruption index and quantile regression with instrumental variables, we find a differentiated negative impact: it is significant and larger in low-performance municipalities, and insignificant in high-performance ones. Fiscal performance is inelastic to corruption, with higher sensitivity in the lower quartile.

AB - This study analyzes the effect of public corruption on municipal fiscal performance in Colombia (2016-2019). Using a composite corruption index and quantile regression with instrumental variables, we find a differentiated negative impact: it is significant and larger in low-performance municipalities, and insignificant in high-performance ones. Fiscal performance is inelastic to corruption, with higher sensitivity in the lower quartile.

KW - D73

KW - Desempenho Fiscal

KW - Desempeño Fiscal

KW - Fiscal Performance

KW - H83

KW - Munici-pios; JEL: H70

KW - Municipalities; JEL: H70

KW - Municípios;JEL: H70

KW - Palabras clave: Corrupción Pública

KW - Palavras-chave: Corrupção Pública

KW - Public Corruption

KW - Quantile Regression

KW - Regresión Cuantil

KW - Regressão Quantílica

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105035307033

U2 - 10.18601/01245996.v28n54.04

DO - 10.18601/01245996.v28n54.04

M3 - Artículo en revista científica indexada

AN - SCOPUS:105035307033

SN - 0124-5996

VL - 28

SP - 71

EP - 98

JO - Revista de Economia Institucional

JF - Revista de Economia Institucional

IS - 54

ER -

Corruption and Municipal Fiscal Performance in Colombia: A Quantile Regression Analysis (2016-2019)

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